The MoneyLine Report is back with more breaking news from the
Multi-Billion Dollar Agriculture Sector......July
2002
"A
Premium Investor Relations Service"
Symbol: AMCG
Shares Outstanding: 9,400,454
Float (est.): 863,310
Short-Term Target: $2.75
52 week High/Low: $1.01/0.09
Rating: Strong Buy
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Our Featured Stock, American Group, Inc. (OTCBB:
AMCG), first appeared on data-stream charts back in Feb. 1999 with
the announcement that they were breaking ground on their $1.5 million
soil-blending plant in Homestead, Florida. Among the many financial
news media to spotlight American Group at the time was CNBC's On
the Edge, which featured The American Group in March of 1999,
and Investor's TV News Magazine, which interviewed Eric W. Deckinger,
president, in July of that same year. Now, AMCG has once again popped-up
on our charts, announcing they
have now completed their state-of-the-art soil-blending plant, and
that it is open for business. For this reason, and the continued underlying
strength of the Agriculture Sector, we have upgraded AMCG to a Strong
Buy Recommendation.
The
American Group, Inc.
The
American Group Inc. operates subsidiaries in the floriculture
and environmental horticulture
market, the fastest growing segment of U.S. agriculture, typically increasing
an annual $500 million in grower cash receipts.
The
American Group, Inc. (AMCG) operates two subsidiaries:
Torland,
a Canadian harvester and producer of Sphagnum
peat moss, controls a 5000 acre peat moss bog which has an estimated
$450 million in reserve potential and presently exports the majority
of its production to the United States for sale through Agro Soils.
Agro Soils, formerly Lantana Peat and Soil, a Florida-based
custom soil mixing and distribution operation, opened its new Agro
Soils plant and is expected to significantly increase Agro's capacity
to produce custom-blended soil products. The efficiencies expected from
operating at the new plant include a significant reduction in current
unit costs and enhanced customer service.
These subsidiaries
have immediate operating synergies and should result in increasing operating
margins during the current fiscal year. The subsidiaries have a present
annualized revenue base of about $5.4 million and expect to be profitable
this year.
Three related markets comprise the AMCG customer base. In Southeast
Florida, primarily, commercial nurseries provide a steady year round
demand for AMCG's product. Golf courses are being built nationwide,
but Florida probably sees more new courses per capita than any other
state. The established courses require constant maintenance, so both
new and existing courses create a steady year-round demand for custom
golf course media as top dressings. Landscaping contractors also create
a steady demand for the company's product, which is used in new developments
and in maintaining existing developments, both commercial and residential.
Building and zoning codes grow continually more stringent, and they
require increased amounts of landscaping and larger "green"
areas. Other markets include municipal athletic fields, stadiums and
parks.
For information
on AMCG go to www.theamericangroupinc.com.
The
Multi-Billion Dollar Market
The USDA ranks
floriculture
and environmental horticulture
as the second most important agricultural sector in the U.S. Grower
cash receipts from sales of floriculture and nursery crops continued
to rise...reaching $13.3 billion in 2001 (Source: FLORICULTURE AND
ENVIRONMENTAL HORTICULTURE YEARBOOK -- SUMMARY May 23, 2002 May 2002,
ERS-FLO-2002 - Approved by the World Agricultural Outlook Board)
Extensive Research completed in June 2000 shows $10.9 billion in grower
receipts. Floriculture and environmental horticulture crops ranked as
the United States' seventh most-important commodity group behind cattle
and calves, dairy products, corn, hogs, and soybeans.(1)
By 1998, American grower receipts were valued at $12.1 billion.(2)
While these are impressive figures, it must be noted that they only
represent a fraction of the over all American "green industry."
In 1998, retail expenditures for all floriculture and environmental
horticulture products, as estimated by the Economic
Research Service, reached $54.8 billion, or $203 per capita.(3)
The $54.8 billion makes the U.S. the world's largest market for floriculture
and environmental horticultural products.
While the U.S. represents the largest market, it is also the largest
producer of floriculture and environmental horticultural products. Commercial
growers can be found throughout the U.S. However, production tends to
be concentrated in the southern states where the climate is more temperate.
In fact, ten States account for more than two-thirds of the total U.S.
output, Florida accounting for 11% of that.
Furthermore, according to a University of Georgia study, the floriculture
and environmental horticulture sector ranks as the second most important
segment in U.S. agriculture, behind beef and beef products. This study
takes into account an industry's total economic output, or the value
of the industry and its closely associated business activities, such
as product handling, marketing, and distribution.(6)
Market Trend, Sales Trends, and more...CLICK
HERE
Facts
& Comparisons
Canada generally
exports more than 75% of its peat moss to developed countries around
the world with the U.S. and Japan representing the major customer base.
Since 1995, the Canadian peat moss industry has exported over 750,000
tons of peat representing more than $210 million in sales. Presently,
Canada exports over $240 million of peat moss annually.
Premier
Horticulture, a subsidiary of Premier
Tech and one of the larger peat moss producers in Canada, recorded
sales in the amount of $11.88 million. Premier Tech stock trades on
the Toronto Stock Exchange between $2.50 and $2.75 Canadian and currently
maintain a market cap of approximately $22.7 million U.S.
Clearly, the potential
production and demand for Canadian peat moss is significantly greater
than the current output and represents a very significant opportunity
for companies that have both the land potential and expertise to capitalize
on the opportunity.
Investor
Conclusion
The MoneyLine Report has found a growth-driven company in The American
Group, Inc. AMCG has completed construction of its Agro Soil mixing
and distribution plant allowing for a production capacity of $15 million.
If AMCG over the
next several years obtains maximum production output from its subsidiary,
Agro Soils, and can perform as well as Premier Horticulture,
revenues for AMCG will grow to the $15 million-plus range. Gross margins
will be approximately 20%, according to management. This would give
AMCG earnings of approximately $3 million, or approximately $0.32 per
share. At a conservative 10 P/E, which is the average Price/Earnings
Ratio for these industries, AMCG would be worth $3.20/share, so you
can see why we are excited about this stock. Combine these elements
with a public float of less than 900,000 shares and you can understand
why we are putting a Strong Buy on AMCG and the $2.75 target price is
definitely obtainable.
The MoneyLine Report feels that AMCG will grow rapidly with opening of their
new soil mixing plant. The MoneyLine Report looks for AMCG
to break out very soon.
The MoneyLine Report is an independent newsletter and is not affiliated with American
Group, Inc.
The MoneyLine Report is an independent research firm.
This report is based on The MoneyLine Report's independent analysis
but also relies on information supplied by sources believed to be reliable.
This report may not be the opinion of AMCG management. The MoneyLine Report has also been retained to research and issue reports on AMCG
and was paid ten thousand dollars by a shareholder of the company. The MoneyLine Report may from time to time buy or sell AMCG common shares in
the open market without notice. The information contained in this report
is not intended to be, and shall not constitute, an offer to sell or
solicitation of any offer to buy any security. It is intended for information
only. Some statements may contain so-called "forward-looking statements".
Many factors could cause actual results to differ. Investors should
consult with their Investment Advisor concerning AMCG. Copyright 2002
© The MoneyLine Report Ltd All Rights Reserved
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